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Company Spotlight :: Biogen Inc.

5/23/2019

 

5/23/2019    ::    Ticker: BIIB   ::    Div. Yield: 0.00%    ::    Closing Price: $229.11

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

​Headquartered in Cambridge, MA, Biogen is a biopharmaceutical company that specializes in the discovery and development of drugs for people suffering from neurological and autoimmune diseases. Their core business is a portfolio of medicines to treat multiple sclerosis (MS) and spinal muscular atrophy. Their CEO since 2017, Michel Vounatsos, was previously with Merck for 20 years.

COMPANY HIGHLIGHTS AND FINANCIALS

According to NeurologyToday, neurological diseases are the leading cause of disability worldwide. Founded in 1978, Biogen rapidly became a global leader in developing medicines to treat serious neurological diseases. They have the largest portfolio of treatment options for MS, and an estimated 35% of MS patients globally use Biogen medicines. Their core MS medicine business coupled with continuous development of drugs for other neurological diseases including dementia provides them with robust growth potential moving forward. Within the next few years, the company intends to expand their neurological portfolio to better address neuromuscular diseases, strokes, and movement disorders. Biogen’s disciplined capital allocation framework and high research and development spending (19% of revenue) provides the potential for consistent growth. 

KEY POINTS

  • Robust growth opportunities in medicines for stroke and dementia
  • Healthy balance sheet
  • Steady research and development strategies
  • Consistent returns on capital and free cash flow generation
  • Compelling valuations based on historical operating metrics and future growth projections

VALUATION AND RISKS

Biogen is trading at a large discount compared to their historical operating performance. Investor concerns caused the price move in March of 2019 after the company abandoned a late stage Alzheimer’s drug. While disappointing, and given the current price, we feel we are buying their still-expanding core MS business for free, and benefitting from future growth potential on their remaining portfolio. Even with modest growth assumptions over the next business cycle, the company is trading at a 20-30% discount to fair value. If our assumptions turn out to be incorrect, we believe this provides a margin of safety.
​
Risks that we intend to monitor going forward involve regulation of drug prices and pipeline development. Weighing both potential rewards and risks, we are optimistic that Biogen is a good long-term investment.
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Patrick Mason, Investment Analyst, Cairn Investment Group

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Cairn Investment Group and its affiliates (“Cairn”) produces Company Spotlight reports (“Reports”) for its clients and the general public. The Reports are impersonal and do not provide individualized advice or recommendations for any specific investor or portfolio. Investing involves substantial risk. Cairn makes no guarantee or other promise as to any results that may be obtained from using the Reports. Past performance should not be considered indicative of future performance. No reader should make any investment decision without first conducting his or her own research and due diligence. At various times Cairn may own, buy or sell the securities discussed for purposes of investment or trading. Cairn disclaims any and all liability in the event any information, commentary, analysis, opinions, advice and/or recommendations in the Reports prove to be inaccurate, incomplete or unreliable or result in any investment or other losses.

The Reports commentary, analysis, opinions, advice and recommendations represent the then current views of Cairn, and are subject to change at any time. The information provided in the Reports is obtained from sources the author believes to be reliable. However, the author has not independently verified or otherwise investigated all such information.

​This is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities. Cairn does not receive any compensation from any of the companies featured in the Reports. Any redistribution of the Reports or the information contained therein, without the written consent of Cairn is strictly prohibited.

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